Madrid (EFE).- The polls have again failed in their forecasts in this 23J, since almost all of them predicted a much broader victory for the PP and, only the CIS, with some very loose forks, yes, has come somewhat close to the result of the two main parties, but it has also been wrong with the result of Vox and especially Sumar.
The private polls released this Sunday at the closing of the polling stations suggested that the PP could reach an absolute majority, set at 176 seats, with the help of Vox, and yet it has remained far from that mark, obtaining together 169 seats.
The Sigma Dos survey for RTVE and La Forta, gave the PP between 145 and 150 seats and finally it has remained at 136, nine less than the lowest range of the fork. This same poll gave Vox between 24 and 27 deputies, and that result has greatly improved, by getting 33.
They wrongly granted an absolute majority to PP-Vox
Nor has this survey been successful with the PSOE, to which it granted between 113 and 118 seats, and it has finally risen to 122.
This poll has been tighter with Sumar, to which he gave between 28 and 31 seats, the latter number that he finally obtained.
The Gad3 poll for Telecinco has also failed in its forecasts, which granted the PP 150 seats -14 more than those it has achieved- while it gave the PSOE 112 -ten less-.
Vox, according to Gad3, was going to obtain 31 seats -2 less- and Sumar, 27, also four less than what he has achieved at the polls.
The CIS was closer to the electoral result of 23J
Something closer, although with nuances, has been the macro survey of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS) released on July 5, on the eve of the start of the electoral campaign.
Like the rest of the polls, it gave victory to the PP, although with more discreet results than other polls.
The institute chaired by José Félix Tezanos gave the PP a very wide range of between 122 and 140 seats, and has finally obtained 136 deputies.
Wide range in which he also placed the PSOE with between 115 and 135 deputies, compared to the 122 achieved by those of Pedro Sánchez.
Where the CIS was flatly wrong was with Sumar, to which it gave between 43 and 50 seats, almost 20 more than the 31 that Yolanda Díaz’s candidacy has achieved, and with Vox, to which it gave a maximum of 29 seats, when it has won 33 parliamentarians.
Adding the highest forks of both blocks, PP and Vox added 169 seats according to the CIS -the same number obtained this 23J- but the sum of the left-wing block of the PSOE and Sumar was far behind, which reached 185 deputies, when it has remained at 153 parliamentarians.