Maria Lopez |
Madrid (EFE) its Executive in the case of needing the yeses of Vox to assemble a majority.
After winning the 28M, the PP faces the electoral advance with optimism despite the fact that the territorial pacts with Vox have taken their toll and some polls suggest that the sum is at risk to achieve a change of government, although the PP is not afraid of this scenario and he only sees wear and tear on Vox.
Feijóo starts as the winner in all the polls, except the CIS one, but the possibility of governing will depend on his strength.
With Feijóo at the helm, the PP broke the taboo of governing in coalition with Vox, and will do so in Extremadura and the Valencian Community, as is already the case in Castilla y León. The president of the popular, although he does not want it, is willing to have a bicolor government in La Moncloa.
“If I have to ask Vox for the yes, the logical thing is that it forms part of my government,” he said in an interview with El Mundo. This conditional is completed with another: if Feijóo’s abstention from Vox is enough for him, he does not want this party in his Council of Ministers.
The sum of PP and Vox marks the debate
The sum of PP and Vox marks the entire debate. It is the main trump card of the PSOE, which warns that this alliance can lead to going backwards in the fight against sexist violence or the rights of the LGTBI collective. It is also key in the PP’s relationship with other parties, because Abascal repels actors like the PNV.
Aware of this context, Feijóo insists on appealing to a center and moderate electorate and reiterates that his goal is to govern alone. He has set the necessary seats to try at 160 because with that arithmetic he would only need the abstention of Vox, which in turn would facilitate other abstentions from the PRC, PNV or the Canary Coalition.
His strategy has two difficulties: the poll that predicts the most seats gives him 154 and the role of Vox, which has repeatedly warned that it will not give its votes for free.
Feijóo argues that a sufficient majority is possible
Feijóo maintains that a sufficient majority is possible, alluding to the precedents of his first absolute majority in 2009 in Galicia and that of Juanma Moreno in Andalusia, which the polls did not anticipate. And before Vox, the PP has launched to ask for the useful vote.
“He is going to be president, there is no doubt about it; The question is how do you want me to be president, alone or accompanied? ”, questioned, for example, Moreno, the baron whom Feijóo aspires to emulate because he managed to unite the voters, including the moderates. The popular ones also see in Murcia a spring to concentrate support if Vox forces the electoral repetition.
Given the complexity of the electoral map and giving himself a sure winner of these elections, Feijóo also looks at the PSOE, which he asks to abstain to prevent Vox from entering the Government. The PNV has also raised this movement, which however Pedro Sánchez discards.
Governability and the possibility or not of an electoral repetition will thus depend on whether one bloc clearly prevails over another.
Feijóo’s leadership at the head of the PP will depend on the result of 23J. Nobody disputes it now, after the popular candidate left a secure government in the Xunta de Galicia to get his party out of the crisis that ended with Pablo Casado. The outlook will be different if Feijóo fails to change the government.
In addition, Feijóo has balanced between the toughest visions of his party and the most moderate ones, a more complex task if possible as he suffers the marking of Vox to his right. 23J will allow us to see if his strategy satisfies the voters.
Feijóo has already announced that if he does not win, a scenario that no poll predicts, he will leave. But if he does not add, the scenario is uncertain and a succession process that nobody wants to imagine in the PP could open up. Nor is Isabel Díaz Ayuso or Juanma Moreno, the best placed to replace the Galician.