Vitoria (EFE).- The PNV would lose 1 deputy and would tie at 5 with EH Bildu and PSE in the general elections on July 23.
The PNV would win, but EH Bildu would snatch 1 in Bizkaia and the PSE would also go up 1 in Gipuzkoa to the detriment of Sumar.
The coalition led by Yolanda Díaz would be precisely the most punished formation at the polls.
He would lose 2 of the 3 deputies that Unidas Podemos achieved in the previous general elections of November 2019.
On the other hand, the PP would increase its representation in Congress by recovering 1 seat in Álava.
It would obtain a total of 2 deputies (the other in Bizkaia).
For its part, Vox would not achieve any representative in the Lower House for Euskadi.
This is revealed by an electoral poll prepared by the Basque Government’s Sociological Prospecting Cabinet.
It was carried out between June 20 and 23 through telephone interviews with 1,453 people.
The congressional candidate for the PNV, Aitor Esteban. EFE/Javier Zorrilla
According to his estimates, the PNV would once again win the general elections in the whole of Euskadi.
Also in the three historical territories, as he already did in the elections four years ago, but he would lose a deputy for Bizkaia.
This seat would go to EH Bildu, which would also unseat the PSE as the second force with the most votes among the Basques.
Both sovereignists and socialists would win a deputy, thus equaling the 5 seats of the PNV.
The PP would also show an upward trend and would obtain a deputy for Álava and Bizkaia, although it would continue without achieving it in Gipuzkoa.
The big loser would be Sumar, who would only retain the seat that he took out in Bizkaia in 2019 and would lose both Álava and Gipuzkoa.
By territory, it is striking that the PNV, EH Bildu and PSE would win the same seats in all of them.
PNV, EH Bildu and PSE tie in all territories
Thus, in Bizkaia there would be a triple tie between 2 deputies but with a different sign, since the nationalists would lose a representative, the abertzales would win and the socialists would repeat the result.
The sovereignist coalition would go from being the fourth force in popular support in November 2019 to positioning itself as the second most voted for by the people of Biscay.
In the case of PP and Sumar there would be no variation with respect to the previous general elections, since both would retain their deputy in this territory.
President Pedro Sánchez, with the PSE candidate Patxi López, in the background. EFE/Marshal
In Gipuzkoa, the PNV would once again be the most voted and would repeat the result with 2 deputies, the same as EH Bildu, which would maintain its representation. The PSE would also achieve 2 seats by snatching 1 from Sumar, who would be left without a seat in Congress for this territory.
The PP, as in the 2019 elections, would not be represented in Gipuzkoa.
In Álava, the PNV, EH Bildu and PSE would achieve 1 deputy each, the same distribution as four years ago. The jeltzales would remain the force with the most votes, the sovereignists would see their percentage of votes increase by going from fourth to second force, and the socialists would lose some support.
The novelty in this territory is that Sumar would lose his deputy, so that the left-wing coalition would only obtain representation in Bizkaia by losing its parliamentarians in both Gipuzkoa and Álava.
The Álava seat ceded by the purples would go to the PP, which would thus recover its deputy for this territory. EFE