Oviedo (EFE).- The Center for Sociological Research (CIS) maintains that in the next general elections the PSOE will continue to be the party with the most votes in Asturias and the PP the second, although both parties are assigned a range of between two and three seats, while Sumar would get between one and two deputies and Vox, one.
This legislature, the Socialists had three representatives in Congress for Asturias, the PP with two, and Podemos and Vox, one each.
The CIS barometer, which does not give the estimated vote by autonomous community, when asked which party they are going to vote for on July 23, shows that 25.4 percent will vote for the PSOE, half a point above those who They favor the PP, with 24.9 percent, while 16 percent of those surveyed favor Sumar and 11.2 percent favor Vox.
Regarding the sympathy aroused by the different options, the Socialists also remain in the lead with 17.6 percent, followed by the PP (9.6%), Sumar (4.6%) and Vox (3, 8%), while 38.2 percent say they have no sympathy for any of them.
Adding the intention to vote with the sympathy shown by those surveyed for a party, the PSOE also rises with the first position in Asturias (28.7%), and the PP with the second (27%), followed by Sumar (18 ,3%) and Vox (12%)
Victory of the PP in Spain but without a majority
At the national level, the CIS barometer concedes victory for the first time in this legislature to the PP, which would achieve 31.4 percent of the votes and between 122 and 140 seats in the elections, although a collapse of Vox, which would lose almost half of their deputies, would prevent them from governing together.
The PSOE, as the second political force, thanks to the estimated 31.2 percent of the vote and a range of between 115 and 135 deputies, could retain the Government with the support of Sumar, since this coalition would take 16.4 percent. percent of the votes and between 43 and 50 seats, according to the CIS pre-election macro survey.
In this way, the highest result of PP and Vox (with between 21 and 29 seats) would place them at 169 seats, 7 from the absolute majority, while the PSOE and Sumar would easily overcome this barrier thanks to the 185 seats that would gather if the best result of their respective forks is taken into account.
In the last barometer released by the CIS in June, just after the municipal and regional elections and after the anticipation of the general elections on 23J, the PSOE was the winner with the same percentage of 31.2, but the PP had 30.7 percent and now it would rise to 31.4. Vox repeats its 10.6 percent and Sumar shoots up almost 4 points, from 12.3 to 16.4 percent. EFE