Barcelona (EFE) Iberian Press, which advances this Sunday El Periódico.
The PP would win the elections with 30.7% of the votes and 126-132 seats (it now has 89), one point and two seats more than in the March survey, while the PSOE would remain at 27.6% of the votes and 104-110 deputies, compared to the current 120, seven tenths and two deputies more than three months ago.
The three points of advantage of the popular leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo over the president Pedro Sánchez have not changed since the previous survey, but if longer-term trends are observed, while “the popular ones are one point below a year ago, the Socialists have not obtained a vote estimate above 27% since November 2021 ”.
For this reason, “Sánchez obtains his best data of the last year despite the debacle of May 28”, while the irruption of Sumar, by Yolanda Díaz, “would sink” Podemos.
Vox would achieve 14.6% of the votes and 42-45 seats (now it has 52), two tenths and two seats less than in the previous poll.
Sumar would obtain 13% of the votes
In the first GESOP survey since the emergence of Sumar, Díaz’s platform would obtain 13% of the votes and 33-36 deputies, compared to 2% of the Podemos ballots and 2-3 parliamentarians, 10 points and 30 fewer seats than in March.
The right-wing block, according to the poll, “would oscillate between 168 and 177 seats and the left-wing block would move between 139 and 149 deputies.”
When it comes to recovering the vote, the survey shows that Feijóo would absorb “one in four Vox voters in 2019 and half of the Ciudadanos voters”, while the fragmentation of the left “shoots up the number of undecided progressive voters” .
Socialists resist
Despite this, the Socialists “resist well because they retain 65% of their voters and capture two out of 10 Más País voters and 17% of ERC voters”, their “main vote drain being the PP, a 8.3%”, although they have dropped three points since March.
The result of the elections on May 28 has broadened the perception that the PP will win the next general elections, with 68.5% of Spaniards believing that the PP will win, 22 points more than in March .
Only 14.6% think that Pedro Sánchez will win, 16 points less, and despite the fact that it is the middle of summer, three out of four interviewees take their participation for granted and only 6% rule out going to vote.
The field work of the survey was prepared from 1,003 interviews, from May 30 to June 1, just after the overturn on the municipal and regional political map.
Wow, marvelous weblog layout! How long have you ever been running a blog for?
you made running a blog look easy. The full look
of your website is wonderful, as smartly as the content! You can see similar here sklep internetowy