Madrid (EFE)
The elections will test whether or not there is wear and tear for the PSOE, in the central government since June 2018; the ability of a PP with a new leader (Alberto Núñez Feijóo) to recover votes; the validity of the Vox project; and the impact on Podemos of being a member of the Coalition Executive.
Among the unknowns of the autonomous regions, Madrid stands out, where Isabel Díaz Ayuso could even achieve an absolute majority according to the polls, and the Valencian Community, with Ximo Puig in the fight to maintain the Generalitat for one more legislature.
In the municipal elections, the Madrid City Council is in dispute according to the polls, while in Barcelona Ada Colau is fighting for victory with the socialist Jaume Collboni. The fight for the mayoralty of Valencia also seems competitive, until now in the hands of Compromís with Joan Ribó at the helm.
Twelve communities called to the polls
A dozen autonomies are called to the polls for this 28M: Aragon, Asturias, the Balearic Islands, the Canary Islands, Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, the Valencian Community, Extremadura, La Rioja, Madrid, Murcia and Navarra, in addition to the autonomous cities of Ceuta and Melilla. Andalusia, Castilla y León, Catalonia, Galicia and the Basque Country did not attend on this occasion.
The CIS pre-election survey for 28M, released on May 11, predicted a very open scenario, although it suggested that the PSOE could retain its main regional strongholds, such as the Valencian Community, Castilla-La Mancha and Extremadura, while placing the Madrid president, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, on the verge of an absolute majority.
The survey carried out by the Center for Sociological Research granted wide ranges in its estimates of seats that give disparate results and the possibility of pacts of different signs in many territories and municipalities.
The survey also gave the PSOE victory in the next municipal elections with 31.7 percent of the votes in the national total compared to 27.3 percent for the PP, a difference of 4.4 points.