Murcia will decide in the elections on May 28 which government (alone or in coalition) will have the PP candidate, Fernando López Miras, who starts as the favorite. All the published polls agree that the current president of the Region will continue for at least one more legislature, in what the brake that the political forces of the left have experienced has to do. The PSOE, which won four years ago, has lost steam, and everything points to the fact that, despite the slight rise that the polls show in Podemos, it will be in the opposition.
Electoral system
A total of 1,096,759 citizens of Murcia (including those residing abroad) are called to the polls, according to electoral census data provided by the National Institute of Statistics.
They will choose the composition of the Regional Assembly, which has 45 seats. In order to have parliamentary representation, the candidacies must exceed 3% of the valid votes cast in the community, which is a single constituency.
2019 results and prospects for 28M
Four years ago, the Murcian PSOE achieved victory after a vote of great equality with the PP. The Socialists were unable to form a government, however. Yes, Fernando López Miras could do it despite the fact that he was not the candidate (Pedro Antonio Sánchez resigned due to being investigated in a case of corruption).
He received the support of Cs and Vox, and these two forces, plus the PP, secured an absolute majority of 23 seats. A motion of no confidence presented at the beginning of 2021 (later frustrated) altered this balance of forces and forced López Miras to rebuild his cabinet.
For this 28M, López Miras aspires to win with more than enough margin to govern alone. He might need Vox’s support.
According to the barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), published on May 11, the PP would win at the polls easily, but would need Vox to continue as president. PSOE and Podemos would not get a larger sum.
