Vitoria (EFE).- The PNV would win the elections in the three Basque capitals and in the General Meetings of the three territories and would have a majority with the PSE in the three provincial parliaments and in Bilbao and San Sebastian, but not in Vitoria where they would in the absence of a vote as is the case now, according to the latest electoral poll of the Basque Government.
This is revealed by the latest electoral Sociometer prepared by the Sociological Prospecting Cabinet of the Executive of Iñigo Urkullu.
Unlike the one he did on October 14, on this occasion in the Álava capital the current members of the regional Executive and the main institutions are in a minority.
The new study analyzes the intention to vote for the next municipal and regional elections on May 28, 2023 after interviewing 3,030 people.
The main differences with respect to the 2019 municipal and regional elections is that EH Bildu is reinforced in the town halls of the three Basque capitals and in the three General Meetings.
The PNV maintains or wins in voting intentions in all these institutions and the PSE retains its seats in Vitoria, Bilbao and San Sebastián, but would lose votes in the three provincial parliaments.
Elkarrekin Podemos, on the other hand, would be the clear loser in these elections, since it would fall back in the three capitals and in the three provincial chambers.
The PP would fall in Bilbao but would remain in Vitoria and San Sebastián, while it would keep its attorneys in Álava and would gain in voting intentions in Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa. Vox, for its part, would burst in with a seat in Álava.
In the Vitoria City Council, the PNV would maintain its 7 councillors, EH Bildu would achieve one more and take 7 and the PSE-EE would keep its current 6. The PP would also continue with 5 and Elkarrekin Podemos would lose 1 and keep 2.
Unlike the October poll, the PSE would not obtain one more seat and therefore the sum with the PNV does not give them a majority. They would continue with 13 of 27.
In Bilbao the PNV would get 15 of the 29 and would have a majority alone. I would get 1 more than in this legislature. EH Bildu would also achieve 1 more until adding 5, the PSE would maintain its 5 councillors, and both Elkarrekin Podemos and PP would lose 1 and would be left with 2 each, just as the previous Sociómetro predicted.
In this way, in Bilbao, the PNV and PSE could govern with a comfortable majority of 20 of the 29 mayors.
In San Sebastián, the PNV would maintain 10 councilors, followed by EH Bildu who would add one more and have 7, while the PSE-EE would keep 5. The PP would continue with 3 and Elkarrekin Podemos would lose one and obtain 2. What has varied in the last four months is that in the Gipuzkoan capital who would win in voting intentions would be EH Bildu and not the PSE.
The current social, PNV and PSE. They would therefore add 15 of the 27 seats in the Gipuzkoan capital.
Comfortable majority of PNV and PSE in the Boards
In the three General Meetings the Socialists would lose representation, although this would not prevent them from being able to repeat the coalition with the PNV to form solid governments with large majorities. They would reach 49.5% of the votes in Álava, 60.3% in Bizkaia and 52.2% in Gipuzkoa of the total number of votes.
In the provincial parliament of Álava, the rise in voting intentions of the PNV, EH Bildu and Vox, the maintenance of the PP and the sharp fall of Elkarrekin and to a lesser extent of the PSE stand out.
The PNV would win in this territory with 31.5% of the votes (+1.9 points compared to the 2019 foral elections), followed by EH Bildu with 22.8% (+1.7) and the PSE- EE with 18% (-1).
Behind would be the PP with 15% (-0.1), Elkarrekin Podemos with 6.6% (-3.3) and Vox would achieve representation in this Chamber for the first time by obtaining 3.1% of the votes (+1.7) with what a juntero could have. Regarding the previous poll, the most notable thing is that the PNV gains one point in voting intention.
Rise of Bildu in Bizkaia
In the General Meetings of Bizkaia the PNV rises (+0.8%) to 44.6%, but above all EH Bildu (+2.4) does so, obtaining 22.2%, to the detriment of the PSE-EE ( -0.9) by having 15.7% and mainly from Elkarrekin Podemos (-3.3) by staying with 7.3%.
PP, with 7.2%, and Vox, with 1.4%, rose slightly in voting intentions (+0.6 and +0.5 respectively), according to this latest electoral poll.
Compared to the previous survey, only a slight decrease can be seen in PNV and Bildu, a greater decrease in Elkarrekin compared to an increase in PP and Vox.
In the Gipuzkoa Provincial Chamber, the PNV would win with 36.2% of the votes, that is, 0.3 points more, followed by EH Bildu with 32.7%, which managed to increase 0.8 points. The PSE remains as the third force although it loses 1.2 points and remains with 16% of the votes.
The most affected, according to this survey, is Elkarrekin Podemos, which fell 1.9 points in voting intentions, remaining at 7.1%. Behind are the PP with 4.8% of the votes (-0.1) and Vox emerges with 1.3%, although it would not obtain any seats.
If it is compared with the intention to vote of the Basques in October, there are small decreases in PNV, EH Bildu and PSE, compared to slight increases in PP, Vox and Elkarrekin. EFE